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AFL Coleman Medal Odds Insights
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Coleman Medal Betting Odds & Insights 2024

8 January 2024

Who will win the 2024 AFL Coleman Medal? Our experts show the best odds and tips for 2024's #1 goal kicker

2024 Coleman Medal Odds

AFL Player
Best Odds Found
Charlie Curnow
(Carlton)
Jesse Hogan
(GWS)
Nick Larkey
(North Melbourne)
Harry McKay
(Carlton)
Jeremy Cameron
(Geelong)
Max King
(St Kilda)
13.00 at
betm.com.au
Ben King
(Gold Coast)
Jamarra Ugle-Hagan
(Western Bulldogs)
Jye Amiss
(Fremantle)
Tom Hawkins
(Geelong)
Logan McDonald
(Sydney)
Joe Daniher
(Brisbane)
Bayley Fritsch
(Melbourne)

We compare the best odds for each player across different betting sites. Last updated 4/3/2024

Who will win the 2024 Coleman Medal?

Charlie Curnow is still the favourite to kick the most goals for the 2024 AFL Home and Away season. The Carlton big man will be going for a hat-trick, after winning the Coleman Medal for the last two years.

Carlton have only gone from strength to strength in the past few years, and we don't see it slowing down in 2024, as they're our top tip for anyone betting on the AFL Premiership.

Best odds for Charlie Curnow are 6.00 at bluebet.com.au

Who is our tip for the Coleman Medal?

Jesse Hogan

We've had a pivot since the opening round where we were backing Nick Larkey, to GWS spearhead Jesse Hogan. Giant's were always going to do well this year, but we underestimated how strong they would be, and thought Toby Greene would be kicking a lot of their goals. Hogan is boasting one of the best goal kicking accuracies in the AFL at the moment, and with the constant delivery he is getting, he will surely kick a lot of goals this year.

GWS will definitely be a top 6 team this year, and as shown below in the past 10 years the Coleman Medal has only been won by a player outside the top 6 twice. Interestingly, both of these were Carlton, so Hogan still needs to pip McKay and Charlie Curnow, both who have started like a house on fire and won't be slowing down with Carlton continually winning games.

Best odds for Jesse Hogan are 7.00 at elitebet.com.au

2024 Historical Coleman Medal Tips

Before Opening Round Tip

Our tip for the Coleman Medal before Opening Round was for Nick Larkey, with odds of 10.00 at playup.com.au

29/2/2024

"I do think Charlie has it, but I'm backing Larkey as a roughie. Larkey has an equal goal average to what Charlie Curnow had in 2023 (3.1 average goals). However, Larkey has a much higher goal kicking accuracy, which was 71% for 2023.

Larkey finished with 71 goals last year, only 7 shy from Charlie who had 78. Although, Kangaroos only won 3 games last year, and with some hard running new young players, we think they will perform much higher this year. As long as Larkey keeps slotting them through anyway and everyway - he'll be getting more opportunities to kick them this year, so he'll definitely be one to watch".

Jimmy - AFL Tipster & Betting Sites Expert

Round 4 Tip

Our tip for the Coleman Medal winner before Round 4 was for Jesse Hogan for 7.00 at elitebet.com.au

4/4/2024

Round 11 Tip

We will give this updated Coleman Medal Tip before Round 11.

Round 17 Tip

We will give this updated Coleman Medal Tip before Round 17.

Round 22 Tip

We will give this, and final, updated Coleman Medal Tip before Round 22.

2024 Top 10 Goal Kicking Accuracy

The table below shows the top 10 goal kickers for the 2024 AFL Home and Away season, their accuracy and average after Round 3.

Player
Goals
Accuracy
Average
Jesse Hogan
(GWS)
12
70.6%
4
Harry McKay
(Carlton)
11
61.1%
3.7
Bayley Fritsch
(Melbourne)
11
57.9%
2.8
Jake Stringer
(Essendon)
10
62.5%
3.3
Charlie Curnow
(Carlton)
10
62.5%
2.7
Cody Weightman
(Western Bulldogs)
9
75%
3
Logan McDonald
(Sydney)
9
69.2%
2.3
Tom Hawkins
(Geelong)
9
69.2%
3
Jamie Elliott
(Collingwood)
9
69.2%
2.3
Kyle Langford
(Essendon)
8
61.5%
2.7


2023 Top 10 Goal Kickers

The table below shows the top 10 goal kickers for the 2023 AFL Home and Away season. The accuracy and average are for 2023 as a whole.

Player
Goals
Accuracy
Average
Charlie Curnow
(Carlton)
78
60.4%
3.1
Taylor Walker
(Adelaide)
76
58.9%
3.5
Nick Larkey
(North Melbourne)
71
71%
3.1
Toby Greene
(GWS)
60
53.7%
2.8
Charlie Cameron
(Brisbane)
53
58.4%
2.3
Jeremy Cameron
(Geelong)
53
50.5%
2.7
Oscar Allen
(West Coast Eagles)
53
60.9%
2.3
Kyle Langford
(Essendon)
51
61.4%
2.2
Joe Daniher
(Brisbane)
51
52.6%
2.3
Tom Hawkins
(Geelong)
49
54.5%
2.5


Previous Coleman Medal Winners

Year
Player
Goals
Team Finished
2023
Charlie Curnow
(Carlton)
81
5th
2022
Charlie Curnow
(Carlton)
64
9th
2021
Harry McKay
(Carlton)
58
13th
2020
Tom Hawkins
(Geelong)
49
4th
2019
Jeremy Cameron
(GWS)
67
6th
2018
Jack Riewoldt
(Richmond)
65
1st
2017
Lance Franklin
(Sydney)
69
6th
2016
Josh Kennedy
(West Coast)
80
6th
2015
Josh Kennedy
(West Coast)
75
2nd
2014
Lance Franklin
(Sydney)
67
1st
Previous Coleman Medal Winners Takeaways

In the past 10 Coleman Medals, only twice has a winner played in a team that did not finish within the top 8 (or top 6 for that matter). Both times, it was Carlton.

The last three Coleman Medals have been won by a Carlton player. As we are anticipating them to go far this year, it is likely that with their playing structure they will continue to have high goal scorers.

They also have increased in their end of year position by 4 places each year, for the past 3 years. We think that they have every chance to finish on top this year to continue the trend, and that'll do wonders for my OCD.

Best odds for Charlie Curnow are 6.00 at bluebet.com.au

Best odds for Carlton are 8.00 at betm.com.au

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FAQ

Where can I bet on the Coleman Medal?

You can bet on the Coleman Medal on any bookmaker listed on this page. The best betting sites for the Coleman are:

What happens if the Coleman Medal is a draw?

With all betting sites offering odds on the Coleman Medal (from the best of our knowledge), if the end result is a tie, then dead heat rules will apply. So your odds will be halved, or divided, depending on how many players come equal first.

Luckily, there has never been a draw in the leading Goal Kicker in the AFL for over a century.