Brownlow Medal 2024 Betting Odds, Tips & Insights

Our tip for the Brownlow Medal before Opening Round was for Tom Green for 19.00 at unibet.com.au

29/2/2024

"That really big sound from the West side of the town will only get bigger in 2024, and although most eyes are on their fearsome leader Toby Greene (who I've been told is a better looking version of me)- Tom Green is the one we have our eyes on.

Tom polled 16 votes and missed 5 games in the home and away season last year, and was suspended in round six for rough conduct, making him ineligible to win the Brownlow- which I reckon definitely sways the voters decisions for the rest of year, and not in a positive way.

Personal theories aside, Tom Green had the highest contested possession average for the whole year, which is including the 2024 final series. He also came fourth for the Gary Ayres Award for the best player in the finals series. Very impressive for only playing 3/4 games.

Sam Walsh (Carlton) won the award (and is now 3rd favourite for the Brownlow due to this) for also playing 3/4 games - however, even though we are expecting Carlton to be a top 4 team next year, Walsh has the likes of Cripps and big Charlie to contend with. While Tom Green's main competition is Toby Greene".

Jimmy - AFL Tipster & Betting Sites Expert

Our tip for the Brownlow Medal before Round 4 was for Caleb Serong for 10.00 at playup.com.au

3/4/2024

"Our initial tip prior to the Opening Round was for Tom Green to win, who was paying at most 19.00 at bookies. Tom Green had the highest number of contested possessions last year, and in the past 6 seasons (excluding 2023), the player who won the Brownlow finished in the top 3 for average contested possessions. It’s obviously an act that the umpires rate very highly, and when you’re in a team that is also winning games (as we expected from GWS this year), it will prove a huge advantage.

However, now we have changed our tune to Caleb Serong, who again was high on our radar, but was discounted as we didn’t expect much from Fremantle. Serong is leading the average contested possessions this year (as well as Dreamteam and Supercoach points), and he has less players to steal votes from him.

Toby Greene, Stephen Coniglio, Lachie Whitfield and Jesse Hogan will all be polling this year for the Giants, but over at Fremantle, it is likely to be more of a one man show. Sydney also have many players this year stealing votes from one another, including Isaac Heeney, Errol Gulden and Chad Warner. Last year the second highest vote getter for Fremantle was Andrew Brayshaw on 10 votes only.

This is how Lachie Neale managed to win last year, and if Fremantle finish in the top 6 and Serong keeps up this form, he will definitely be dangerous come September".

Jimmy - AFL Tipster & Betting Sites Expert

Our tip for the Brownlow Medal before Round 11 was for Caleb Serong for 10.00 at neds.com.au

20/5/2024

"We're almost halfway through the season, and our eyes are still firmly on Caleb Serong. Isaac Heeney has been playing unbelievable, but Serong has really starred in Fremantle's games averaging a ridiculous 14.8 contested possessions a game (ranked 3rd in the league) and is leading average disposals total (33 average). He's efficiency is 73% which is higher than Nick Daicos.

Many high disposal getting midfielders have won Charlie before, in underperforming teams with little competition such as Matt Priddis back in 2014 with West Coast. Luke Ryan is Serongs main competition (followed by Brayshaw and Luke Jackson), but as it is pretty much a midfielders award, we think he will get noticed more by the voters and get the job done".

Jimmy - AFL Tipster & Betting Sites Expert

Our tip for the Brownlow Medal before Round 16 was for Marcus Bontempelli for 7.00 at unibet.com.au

24/6/2024

"We've flip flopped a couple of times throughout the year on the Brownlow, more taking value where we can find it, but at this stage I'm locking in The Bont.

The Bont has been playing some unbelievable games of late, and he is sitting top 5 in league averages for contested possessions, supercoach and score involvements (2nd). All eyes are on Heeney at the moment, but he is a bit of a medium fish in a team of superstars which will take votes off of him - whereas Bont is a top dog in a much smaller pond. Liberatore and English aren't having the same year as last, but the Bont certainly is".

Jimmy - AFL Tipster & Betting Sites Expert

Our tip for the Brownlow Medal after the home and away season was for Lachie Neale for 8.00 at neds.com.au

27/8/2024

"Now that the season is done and dusted, I'm changing my tip again, but this time to Lachie Neale.

All Brownlow's are pretty close, but this one is almost impossible to call. Cripps and Daicos have ended the season with some crazy form which has seen them go into the dead favourites. The Bont has somewhat dropped off (as much as possible for The Bont).

Neale, however, has been playing the same brand of footy he always has week in week out. There are very few people outshining him at the Lions, he is number one in the comp for stoppage clearances and number 6 for contested possessions. While the eyes have all been on Cripps and Daicos for the last few weeks ( and rightly so), Neale has also been quietly killing it with these stats, and should easily be in the votes:

Round 22 - 24 disposals, 11 contested, 1 goal
Round 23 - 22 disposals, 13 contested, 2 goals
Round 24- 40 disposals, 19 contested, 1 goal

It a tough one, all the top 5 favourites have had incredible years, but I'm backing Neale for a threepeat".

Jimmy - AFL Tipster & Betting Sites Expert