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The Most Popular NFL Parlay Markets (and Smarter Alternatives You Shouldn’t Ignore)

Oct. 10, 2025

Most NFL parlays rely on money lines, TD markets, and player props. But if you’re looking for a sharper edge this season, it’s worth exploring some of the league’s most overlooked betting markets. These can add real value, and sometimes softer odds, to your NFL parlay strategy.

Benjamin Van Huffel
Betting Site Expert

Before diving into the lesser-known betting markets that can add real value to multi-leg parlays, it’s worth taking a closer look at the ones most bettors rely on, and the pitfalls they often carry.

Outside of core plays like moneylines and spreads, most parlay builders stick to four familiar options: touchdown scorer, passing yards, rushing yards, and receiving yards. These are fun, easy to understand, and always available, but not necessarily the smartest legs to stack.

Why Bettors Love These Markets

There’s a reason these props dominate NFL betting slips. They’re simple to follow, easy to research, and aligned with fantasy football stats most fans already track.

Every drive or target keeps bettors emotionally invested, which makes these markets perfect for entertainment-driven parlays. But popularity also means sharper lines and less long-term value, especially when you’re chasing parlay multipliers.

TD Scorer

Touchdown scorer props come in three main forms: Anytime TD, First TD, and Last TD. They’re among the most exciting bets on a Sunday slate, but also among the most deceptive.

Anytime TD Scorer

This is the safest of the bunch, giving your player the full 60 minutes to find the end zone. It’s especially appealing for players with steady red zone usage, like top running backs or WR1s.

Why it’s popular: It’s simple, it’s fun, and it keeps you invested all game long.

How to use it: Great for single-game parlays when you can correlate with QB or team props.

The catch: Likely scorers have terrible odds (often -120 to -200).

Limited scoring volume: With only ~5 total touchdowns per game on average, there aren’t many chances to hit.

First & Last TD Scorer

These markets offer eye-catching odds, sometimes 10x or higher, but are pure high-variance plays.

First TDs depend heavily on who gets the ball first, while Last TDs hinge on unpredictable game scripts (garbage time, kneel-downs, or backups scoring).

Why it’s popular: The potential payout is huge.

The catch: One bad coin toss or a slow start, and your parlay is dead before kickoff momentum builds.

Strategy note: Better left as a standalone bet, not a parlay leg.

Passing Yards

Passing Yards

Passing yard props let you bet on how many yards a quarterback will throw for during the game. Sportsbooks set a total line, say, 256.5 yards, and bettors decide whether the QB will go over or under that number. It’s one of the most data-driven NFL markets, but not necessarily the most parlay-friendly.

Why it’s popular: Predictable trends and easily researched stats (QB averages, defensive rankings).

Why it works: Correlates nicely with receiving yards markets and passing TD props.

The catch: Lines are often inflated, sportsbooks know bettors love QB Overs

Hidden risk: Game flow matters. A team leading early might abandon the pass, killing a strong start.

Alt Passing Yards

Alt yardage props (like 100+ passing yards or 175+ receiving yards) offer flexibility and opportunities for better odds. They’re great for customizing a parlay to match your confidence level. For example, pairing several conservative “100+” yard plays for safe value, or betting beyond the set total on the over/under for better odds.

Flexibility: You can choose safer or bolder thresholds.

Better odds: Lines that exceed the sportsbook’s total provides improved value.

Volatility: Odds can swing dramatically between increments.

Temptation: Bettors can overreach for value, picking unrealistic totals just to boost parlay payouts.

Receiving Yards

Receiving yard props focus on individual pass-catchers, most often wide receivers and tight ends. Like passing yards, the line is set as an over/under, but volatility is much higher due to target share and defensive matchups.

Why it’s popular: Fantasy overlap makes it intuitive, bettors already track targets, catches, and yardage.

Why it works: Offers multiple options per game, including secondary receivers with low totals.

The catch: Coverage adjustments or injuries can erase a player’s usage entirely.

Hidden risk: Secondary or tertiary options may have soft lines, but they’re unreliable and prone to boom-or-bust outcomes.

Rushing Yards

Rushing yard props let you bet on how many yards a player (usually a running back, sometimes a mobile QB) will gain on the ground. Totals vary greatly depending on opponent, weather, and offensive style.

Why it’s popular: Easier to project for run-heavy teams with consistent backfields.

Why it works: Low totals for backup RBs can offer sneaky value.

The catch: Highly game-script dependent, if a team trails early, rushing volume disappears.

Hidden risk: RB committees and late-game play-calling can destroy consistency.

Why Popular Markets Can Be Problematic

The appeal of these markets is also their biggest weakness, everyone’s betting them. Books price them efficiently, and public bias (especially on Overs and TD scorers) erodes long-term profitability.

Even when you build “smart” parlays, like a favorite’s moneyline + QB passing yards + Anytime TD, the total payout often underwhelms. To chase higher returns, bettors end up adding lower-certainty legs: a backup receiver, a longshot TD, or a random over. That’s where most parlays unravel.

So, What’s Next?

If you’re ready to move beyond overexposed props and find markets where value still exists, ones that sportsbooks don’t price perfectly, the next section is for you.

Let’s explore the underrated NFL betting markets that can add real strategic value to your parlays.

Underrated NFL Betting Markets for Smarter Parlays

So you’ve seen how the popular NFL betting markets, passing yards, rushing yards, TD scorers, tend to be fun but crowded. If you’re looking for new ways to build parlays with better value and less exposure to the public, it’s worth exploring some of the lesser-used markets that sportsbooks still price inefficiently.

Below are a few underrated NFL betting markets that can help diversify your parlay strategy and uncover softer lines.

Team to Lead After Each Quarter (Quarter Lines)

Team Leading NFL

This market lets you bet on which team will be ahead after the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, or 4th quarter.

It’s an excellent way to capitalize on known fast starters, defensive trends, or teams that consistently fade late.

Why it’s valuable: Quarter-based markets react slower to matchup nuances, great for exploiting teams with strong early scripts.

Why it works in parlays: You can combine “1st Quarter Lead” with a halftime total or rushing attempts over for correlated legs.

The catch: A single fluke play or turnover can flip the result in a heartbeat.

Hidden risk: Teams resting starters or adjusting strategy late can destroy 3rd/4th quarter bets.

Tips

Focus on consistent starters like San Francisco or Kansas City, who routinely open strong. Their 1st-quarter leads often hit above league average.

We also recommend staying away from 1st quarter options. Teams that are predicted to dominate can sometimes have a slow start. In addition, teams that don't get possession first and fail to score on their first drive can be at a severe disadvantage for this market in the 1st quarter.

Rushing Attempts & Receptions

Tight End NFL Receptions

Rather than betting on yards gained, these markets track attempts and receptions, a steadier and less volatile stat. It’s especially valuable in poor weather or defensive matchups, where teams may rely on short-yardage plays.

Why it’s valuable: Attempts remain stable even when efficiency drops; perfect for grind-it-out games.

Why it works in parlays: Pair with unders or low-scoring totals, game flow correlation improves overall hit rate.

The catch: Books often set attempts low for run-heavy teams or receptions high for pass-heavy teams, limiting value.

Hidden risk: Blowouts kill rushing attempts fast if the team falls behind early, or receptions if they're leading.

Tips

When rain, wind, or cold weather are factors, team rushing attempts often outperform expectations, a hidden gem for winter games.

Tight ends can also be often overlooked for receptions when game scripts favour defensive coverage of leading WR1s.

Longest Field Goal Over/Under

Kicker Field Goal

This one’s often ignored, but it’s a surprisingly reliable prop for the sharp bettor. You’re betting whether the longest made field goal of the game will go over or under a yardage mark (often set around 46.5 yards).

Why it’s valuable: Weather, altitude, and stadium type can create massive line discrepancies.

Why it works in parlays: Adds a completely uncorrelated leg, reduces overall risk of all-or-nothing outcomes.

The catch: Kicker attempts depend on coaching style; aggressive teams go for it more on 4th down.

Hidden risk: Indoor/outdoor factors can swing results heavily, so always check venue and forecast.

Tips

Stadiums like Denver or Las Vegas (dome) consistently boost the likelihood of long field goals hitting.

We also like this market on teams that statistically can make the distance, but can't quite get into the red zone.

Player Passing Touchdowns

Quarter Back passing T Ds

This market focuses on how many passing touchdowns a quarterback will throw in a given game. Sportsbooks typically set the line around 1.5 or 2.5 for elite passers, depending on the matchup.

Why it’s valuable: TDs are the most direct way to capitalize on a QB’s efficiency without relying on raw yardage. If a team has strong red-zone chemistry (like Mahomes to Kelce), this market can often hit even in low-yardage games.

Why it works in parlays: Correlates nicely with receiver anytime TD props or first-half over totals. Combining these can create strong synergy in a single game.

The catch: Red-zone play-calling can ruin an otherwise perfect setup, one too many handoffs kills the over.

Hidden risk: Mobile QBs, like Lamar Jackson, may steal their own passing TD opportunities with goal-line rushes.

Tips

Track opponent red-zone defense and passing TD rate allowed. A strong pass defense that bends but doesn’t break is often an under spot.

We also recommend staying away from run-heavy offenses where RB1s typically get set up in the red zone.

Player Rushing + Receiving Yards

Running back rushing receiving

This combined yardage market adds up both a player’s rushing and receiving totals into one line, ideal for dual-threat running backs or versatile receivers who get designed carries.

Why it’s valuable: Smooths out game script volatility, if a team falls behind, the player can still earn receiving yards to offset lost rushing attempts.

Why it works in parlays: Great middle ground for flexible players like Christian McCaffrey or Bijan Robinson. You can pair this with a team total or touchdown scorer for a correlated same-game parlay.

The catch: Books price this aggressively for stars, so value often lies with lesser-known backs.

Hidden risk: Split backfields can kill consistency; even one hot-hand adjustment ruins the leg.

Tips

Look for players with steady snap counts and involvement in both early and late downs, true “every-down” backs hold the most upside here.

These markets are also highly worth considering for teams where the RB1 is the main offensive option even when opposed by defensives that are strong against the running game. Players like Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs are great options to look for.

Longest Passing Yards (Over/Under)

Quarterback NFL Most yards

This market lets you wager on the longest completed pass by a quarterback in a given game. The line is typically set anywhere from 33.5 to 45.5 yards, depending on the QB’s arm strength, receiver speed, and opposing secondary quality.

Why it’s valuable: It’s a single-play market that can cash early, one deep shot connection can lock in a win before halftime.

Why it works in parlays: Great for combining with receiver overs or team passing yard totals, creating natural correlation within a same-game parlay.

The catch: One missed deep attempt or conservative playcalling can ruin the over, even if the QB throws for 300+ total yards.

Hidden risk: Defenses facing explosive passing teams often drop into deep zone coverage, taking away vertical looks entirely.

Tips

Look for QBs with high average depth of target (aDOT) and receivers with elite yards per reception. Teams like the Chiefs or Lions, who mix play-action with vertical routes, are prime candidates for over bets in this market.

Why These Markets Work

Underrated betting markets thrive on less liquidity and slower adjustments. While everyone else hammers the same touchdown and yardage props, these smaller markets often move only when sharp bettors notice trends, giving you more breathing room to find value.

They also add balance to parlays: not every leg needs to be correlated. Mixing fast-resolving markets (like first drive results) with longer ones (like team totals) smooths out variance and keeps your overall hit rate healthier.

In short, if you want smarter parlays, think smaller. Underrated markets reward research and timing more than name value, and that’s where long-term bettors find their edge.

Ready to Try These Out?

If you want to see which sportsbooks offer the widest range of NFL markets, from quarter leads to rushing attempts, check out our page covering the Best NFL Betting Sites in Canada or our List of All Betting Sites in Ontario where we cover the ins and outs of all available sportsbooks accessible only to those in Ontario.

Some operators feature far deeper markets than others, and knowing where to find them is the first step toward building sharper parlays.

Bet365 NFL

Our Pick For Best NFL Market Depth

Bet365 has by far the best variety of betting markets out of any sportsbook in Canada. They also routinely top the list for the best odds available across a variety of markets, including core options like moneylines, spreads, and game totals.

The sportsbook offers all the underrated markets mentioned above. If you found any that peaked your interest, we recommend giving them a visit and see if it fits your NFL betting needs.

Bet365 also stands as one of the best options for NFL in-play action, providing a great live-betting experience accompanied with live-streaming on select games as well as box scores and detailed team statistics.

Bet365 operates pursuant to an agreement with iGaming Ontario.

NFL Parlay Market FAQ

What are the safest NFL parlay markets to include?

The safest NFL parlay markets are typically moneylines, point spreads, and anytime touchdown scorers. These markets rely on broader team or player outcomes rather than single high-variance events. However, “safe” doesn’t mean “risk-free." Variance is always present in football. If you’re looking for stability, focus on props backed by consistent usage trends like quarterback passing yards or top running back rushing yards.

What’s the difference between over/under and alternate yardage lines?

Over/under props give you a sportsbook-set total (e.g., 225.5 passing yards), and you choose whether the player goes over or under that number.

Alternate yardage lines let you choose custom thresholds, like 200+ yards or 250+ yards, with odds that adjust accordingly. These are great for parlays since you can trade risk for higher payout potential or safer lower thresholds to keep a ticket alive longer.

Are player touchdown markets good for parlays?

Yes, but they work best when chosen carefully. Anytime TD scorers are the most reliable option and can correlate well with yardage props. First or Last TD markets offer massive value but much higher risk. Use those sparingly and balance them with lower-variance picks.

What’s an underrated NFL betting market for parlays?

Markets like “team to lead at end of each quarter” or “total rushing attempts” are surprisingly sharp additions. They rely more on game flow and coaching tendencies than individual stat luck. For example, backing a run-heavy team like the Ravens for over total rushing attempts can be a smarter, less crowded parlay leg than guessing which RB breaks 100+ yards.

How many legs should an NFL parlay have?

Most seasoned bettors recommend 3 to 4 legs max. Beyond that, your win probability drops dramatically while the perceived “value” often doesn’t scale proportionally. Adding too many uncertain legs, like niche touchdown scorers or alternate overs, usually boosts payout more than it increases your true expected return. Keep parlays strategic, not hopeful.

Is it smarter to combine player props from the same game or different games?

It depends on your intent. Same-game parlays (SGPs) can be powerful when legs correlate, like pairing a QB’s over passing yards with a receiver’s over receiving yards or a team’s win. In addition, most sportsbooks in Canada offer bet builders to help more efficiently build SGPs. However, multi-game parlays offer diversification: one bad game script won’t kill your entire ticket. For long-term betting, mixing both styles gives you the best balance of correlation and variance control.