Where To Bet On NFL Passing Touchdowns In Canada

Passing touchdowns are heavily tied to red zone play-calling. Some teams rely on the pass near the goal line, while others favor short-yardage runs. Reviewing a team’s red zone pass rate and how often a quarterback throws inside the 20-yard line is one of the best indicators for this market.

Not all defenses are created equal. Some secondaries limit deep throws but give up short touchdown passes, while others struggle to contain explosive plays. Checking opponent passing TDs allowed and red zone defensive rankings helps you identify mismatches that could lead to extra scoring opportunities.

The presence (or absence) of a quarterback’s top weapons can completely shift their touchdown potential. Injuries to receivers, tight ends, or offensive linemen can limit production, while a healthy supporting cast often boosts passing efficiency and scoring upside.

If a team is expected to play from behind, its quarterback will likely throw more, increasing touchdown opportunities. On the flip side, heavy favourites often shift toward the run in the second half to protect leads. Using spreads and totals as context clues can help you anticipate how often a QB will need to air it out.

Touchdowns often follow volume. Quarterbacks who consistently attempt 30+ passes per game are naturally more likely to find the end zone through the air. Reviewing attempts per game and completion rates inside the red zone helps identify reliable over candidates.

Passing touchdown props can vary widely between sportsbooks. One book may offer Over 1.5 (-120) while another posts Over 2.5 (+150). Always shop around, especially if you’re betting overs on elite QBs or unders in tough defensive matchups.