NFL WR Receiving Touchdown Odds – Ja’Marr Chase Favoured for 10+ TDs

With futures bets being placed, fantasy drafts underway and excitement building for the upcoming NFL season, fans and bettors alike are beginning to speculate which wide receivers will consistently find the end zone this year.

Popular betting sites such as Bet365 and prediction markets like Kalshi are offering a variety of NFL futures markets, including which players will record 10 or more receiving touchdowns during the regular season.

Bet365 currently has Ja'Marr Chase as the most likely wide receiver to reach double digit receiving touchdowns, with an implied probability of 58.3%. Amon-Ra St. Brown is not far behind at 52.4%, followed by Davante Adams (48.8%), Tee Higgins (39.2%), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (38.5%) and Puka Nacua (31.3%).

Ja'Marr Chase is undeniably one of the NFL’s elite wide receivers. However, like any receiver, his production is still heavily influenced by who is throwing him the ball.

With Joe Burrow missing nine games last season, Chase still managed to record 1,412 receiving yards and eight touchdowns on 185 targets. His production last season speaks volumes about his ability as the primary receiving option for the Bengals, while also helping explain why he fell short of double digit receiving touchdowns.

With Burrow healthy entering the 2026 season, Chase should have a much better opportunity to turn his consistently high target volume into touchdowns. If Cincinnati can keep its starting quarterback on the field, reaching 10 or more receiving touchdowns appears considerably more attainable this year. 

This is supported by the touchdown production Chase saw in 2024, when Joe Burrow played the entire regular season and Chase finished with 17 receiving touchdowns. 

There's also some optimism surrounding Burrow’s protection this year. Cincinnati will have all five starters from their offensive line return, all of which improved considerably during the second half of last season.

Injuries are always a possibility in a physical sport like the NFL, but if Burrow and the Bengals’ offensive line can remain healthy, it's easy to understand why Ja'Marr Chase currently leads the odds in this futures market.

Further down the market, A.J. Brown stands out as one of the more interesting options at +300 to record 10 or more receiving touchdowns.

Brown finished last season with seven touchdowns despite appearing in only 15 games, while also recording 1,003 receiving yards on 78 receptions. Philadelphia also had a relatively balanced group of offensive weapons, with Saquon Barkley heavily involved on the ground and DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert providing additional receiving options.

What makes Brown particularly interesting this year is his move to New England. The Patriots acquired the veteran receiver from Philadelphia during the offseason, giving Drake Maye a proven No. 1 receiving option.

It will depend heavily on how prominently Brown is used near the end zone in New England’s offensive scheme. However, at +300, his previous touchdown production and potential to take on a significant role in the Patriots’ passing game make him one of the more intriguing players further down the market.