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New Orleans Pelicans' Championship Odds Drop Dramatically After Rough Start

Nov 8, 2024

Injuries have resulted in a rocky start for the Pelicans this season

Edward Avery
Content Writer

The New Orleans Pelicans’ start to the season has been turbulent, with recent wins and losses underscoring both promise and lingering issues. After snapping a three-game losing streak by defeating the Indiana Pacers, New Orleans moved to a 3-3 record, temporarily stalling concerns over a potential early-season collapse.

Still, with a fluctuating roster due to injuries and lineup adjustments, the Pelicans’ championship odds have fallen from +5238 on October 22 to +6833 on DraftKings Sportsbook, reflecting a skeptical market outlook on their ability to overcome these hurdles.

While a .500 record after six games isn’t catastrophic, the path the Pelicans have taken to reach it has raised eyebrows. Each game has been a showcase of not just their skill but also their struggle to adapt, especially as they contend with significant absences. Most recently, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Herb Jones, and Dejounte Murray were unavailable, forcing the Pelicans into further lineup experiments. While they found a way to win against the Pacers, this injury trend has hindered them from establishing a reliable rhythm or identity on the floor.

Injuries Undermine New Orleans’ Depth and Versatility

The Pelicans came into the season with the promise of a versatile roster capable of adjusting to different styles of play. Head Coach Willie Green has emphasized a high-paced offense and three-point shooting, aiming to unlock a team that can stretch the floor and play dynamic small-ball lineups. But the absence of key players has forced compromises. McCollum and Murphy, in particular, are integral to New Orleans’ outside shooting and spacing. Without them, the Pelicans lack the perimeter threats needed to open up the floor for players like Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram.

With Jones also sidelined, the team has lost a critical defensive anchor and one of its best two-way players. His absence, combined with the continued rotation adjustments, limits New Orleans’ potential to sustain its defensive identity while posing an offensive threat. This loss in depth and versatility is visible in their erratic performances; while they managed to secure a win against Indiana, the Pelicans remain one injury away from a destabilizing lineup shift.

The frequent disruptions have made it difficult to judge whether this roster can realistically contend in the Western Conference.

Betting Markets React to Pelicans' Inconsistent Start

From a betting perspective, the shift in odds on sports betting sites from +5238 to +6833 reflects a drop in confidence. Though the Pelicans’ initial odds already suggested long-shot status, this recent change underscores the reality that New Orleans has yet to establish itself as a dependable force. The variance in their play, coupled with persistent injury concerns, makes them an unpredictable pick in the championship race.

As the season progresses, New Orleans will need to find stability within its roster. Key players must remain healthy, and Coach Green’s offense will have to take root for the team to develop any legitimate title aspirations.

While it’s too early to dismiss the Pelicans entirely, their chances will likely hinge on their ability to string together wins, avoid further injuries, and find consistent shooting. Right now, the Pelicans’ title hopes seem tenuous at best, reflected by their updated odds and performance inconsistencies. For a fanbase hopeful for a deep playoff run, it’s clear that a lot still needs to fall into place for New Orleans to climb back into true contention.